Analytics SaaS ≠ sportsbook — and what belongs in a public track record
A sports analytics product publishes model output and—ideally—a graded record you can inspect. A sportsbook accepts wagers and holds funds. A trustworthy public track record freezes forecasts before events, keeps misses with hits, shows sample size, and separates early/provisional results from stretches with enough graded history. Win-only screenshots aren’t a record.
Two products get mixed up in search and social:
- Sports analytics — models, probabilities/projections, explanations, and (when honest) a public record of how forecasts did.
- Sportsbook — accepts wagers, holds funds, prices markets for betting.
TrueProps is the first kind: sports analytics software, not a sportsbook. We don’t take bets or hold customer wager funds.
If a team claims a “public track record,” a useful minimum checklist looks like this:
Pre-event (immutable once the event starts)
- Forecast timestamp
- What the model said
- What information was in-bounds
- Model version / ruleset
- Scope (sports / markets covered)
After the fact
- Outcome next to the original forecast
- Misses kept with hits
- Sample size visible
- Split between early/provisional stretches and enough graded history
Labels
- Sport-by-sport honesty beats one global confidence badge.
What to avoid: win-only screenshots, post-hoc filters dressed up as the live process, and turning model-vs-market disagreement into a ticket.
We publish model probabilities and a public graded record for people to inspect at app.trueprops.app. Start free; the most useful note is still “this label / this page was confusing.”
Questions
- Do you place bets for users?
- No.
- Is a track record the same as profit proof?
- No—we show forecast quality and process, not ROI or units.
- Where do I see the record?
- The Results page in the app.