Bet with honest math — not gut feel.
TrueProps ranks every MLB prop by model edge, publishes its own calibration, and shows you the factor behind each pick. No black boxes. No guru picks. Just math you can audit.
Decision support — not picks. Never a sportsbook.
How it works
Three reads, one decision.
We don't hand you a pick. We hand you the work behind the pick — so you can trust it (or overrule it).
01
Pull the line
Live odds ingested from every major book, every market — no curated subset, no lag beyond what the book publishes.
02
Run two models
Model 1 reads odds + batting history. Model 2 reads only batting history — an independent check. When they agree, confidence rises.
03
Measure the gap
We show where the model's estimate beats the market's — in percentage points, not marketing language. You decide if it's worth a bet.
What we refuse to do
Truth-first, by design.
On the roadmap
MLB today. NFL, NBA, NHL next.
The scoring engine is sport-agnostic by design. Each new sport is a spec, not a rewrite — we roll them out phased so every market we ship has real calibration before it hits your feed.
MLB
LiveNFL
2026 seasonNBA
2026-27 seasonNHL
2026-27 seasonWhy TrueProps
"The sports-betting tools I wanted didn't exist. Everyone was selling picks, no one was publishing calibration. So I built the tool I'd want to bet with — honest math, full attribution, zero 'guru' nonsense."
— D. Barrios, founder · Read the full story